Analysts said the rental market is an integral part of the long-term mechanism of real estate, helping to stabilize the real estate market
Recently, around the housing leasing policy intensive introduction. Orient Securities, a report predicts that by 2030 China's leasing population will reach 270 million people, the overall market size will reach 4.2 trillion yuan.
Orient Securities, an analyst said yesterday that the rental market is an integral part of real estate long-term mechanism indispensable to help stabilize the real estate market, to promote the return of real estate properties. China's first-tier cities leased population and market size is far less than New York, Los Angeles, Tokyo and other cities, the main reason is that its low rent and rental population ratio is low, the future of China's first-tier cities will continue to occupy the largest market share, the market size is expected to double.
Orient Securities Research Report pointed out that China's current leasing population is expected to 190 million people, the leasing market size has exceeded one trillion yuan. It is estimated that the national leasing population of 190 million people, mainly by the floating population and college graduates constitute. The future of China's rental market, "the main battlefield" in a second-tier cities, so selected four first-tier cities and 23 second-tier cities for detailed split calculation, measured the current scale of China's leasing market has reached 1.3 trillion yuan, of which The share of second-tier cities is 31%, 20%. But compared with the mature markets of developed countries, both the leasing population and the overall size of the leasing market there is still a lot of room for development.
In addition, the report predicts that by 2030 China's leasing population will reach 270 million people, the overall market size will reach 4.2 trillion yuan. The growth of the leased population comes from the sustained growth of the floating population, the urbanization process into the second stage, there will be more population from small and medium-sized cities to large cities gathered, will give a second-tier cities to provide incremental rental population. At the same time, the rent level will also increase with disposable income and CPI growth.
Oriental Securities The analyst said that first-tier cities have in the future land supply plan to increase the supply of land for lease, and has begun to gradually implement, Shanghai has to sell six pure lease land, and another 10 land will be used to change the use of land for lease The The proportion of future second-tier cities will increase from 20% to 27%, will be the largest incremental market. Brand apartment companies have also been aware of this, began to actively seize the layout of such cities.
"The current leasing market is experiencing the transition from the" old lease "to the" new lease ", for example, the lease of the past is more than that of the past leasing. More emphasis on tenants and landlords between the rights and obligations, but in fact the current similar leasing or have some new elements, including long-rent apartment innovation, are the new features of this round of leasing market development. And the increase in rental land around the same, but also in line with the development of such a new leasing market orientation.
"The scale of future leasing market development is expected to continue to increase the possibility of population growth on the one hand, the corresponding rental demand will rise, on the other hand the demand for leasing the market there will be further release possible, including rental housing Such as the increase in area, which will bring a lot of new market opportunities.From the direction of development, according to the current pilot in Shanghai, is expected to follow the metropolitan city center will form a variety of rental housing to more close to the needs of renters. "Yan Yue Jin said.
House price index (Source: Eastern Fortune Network)
Real estate development data (Source: Eastern Fortune Network)
Real estate sales data (Source: Eastern Fortune Network)
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