First, the disk briefly:
For Wednesday's market, it is estimated that everybody in our hearts has 10,000 "animals" in the Pentium. Specific point of view, before 2 o'clock, the stock indexes are mainly stasis turbulence, placid; 2 after the start of the waves, the market appeared Pudie diving, of course, such as diving, is less than the impact of the Shanghai Stock Exchange Because there are banks, two oil and other heavyweights in the meeting, how can it fall.
However, the stability is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange, the rest of the stock index fell, and, as with the Monday, the weakest or the GEM, has formed a short-term Powei directly into the ditch, and look at individual stocks, rose 5% of stocks also dropped to A total of 52 and 76 dropped more than 5%.
Therefore, the card is distorted, in essence, is the day of the decline, which also reflects the volume, the Shanghai exchange traded 1943 yuan, the afternoon there was a clear panic outflow.
Second, the logical analysis:
After 2 pm on Wednesday, why panic diving? Is it because the so-called every meeting will fall curse? The answer is neither natural nor bad news. In fact, fundamentally, this is a counterattack, with more turnover after weaker confidence.
Because the funds are always fame and fortune, when the market rose to move, the stock did not make the expected profit, equity confidence will be easily weakened, short-term cash or sell funds will increase in vain, which is 2 pm The essence of diving, unable to counterattack caused not to retreat.
It should be noted that this powerless counterattack, not all the reasons for the market. The old two days for everyone to read the amount of shrinkage, from the disk because the hotspot rotation is too fast, maneuverability is poor, from the back is the meeting of the active stock of the formation of interference. Therefore, the current counterattack deficit is mainly for the meeting period, and short-term still have to continue.
However, compared with the pre-National Day, the market is not expected to change, and the short side continues to sell pressure is still not enough, because the long and short conversion relationship, the stock is a potential short, you do not first buy shares, and where Shares can be sold, but before the National Day is adjusted, the National Day is to continue stalemate, the new selling almost no.
Therefore, in terms of the stage, long and short are still balanced. At this time, the probability of falling or falling is also a chance, but for now, this opportunity mainly refers to the meeting.
Third, the trend forecast:
Technically, the card has no need to read, continue not up not down, continue to see the stalemate 3360-3390. But to be a stock, you can not see this, just like the two days old to everyone's emphatically emphasized, short-term stocks, depends on the deep into means.
For the Shenzhen Component Index, short-term decline in the bottom or confirm the end of the stage, but the trend is still, and, as long as the following gap does not fall, the medium-term trend is good. For now, Shenzhen Component Index gap completely fill the gap, there is a certain amount of safe space, short-term also maintained on the top, bottom, the overall stalemate to judge.
Of course, taking into account the long and short stalemate this year, the heavy volume will generally be short and low after the drop. For instance, there was a counterattack last Friday after diving last Thursday afternoon. There was a counterattack on Tuesday after a heavy volume drop on Monday. Therefore, on Thursday Or there is no room to fall, but, can counterattack, but also depends on the specific disk hot spots, there is a strong hot lead, it is easier to come back out, or short-term weakness continues.
Fourth, the operating strategy:
Operation, still need to maintain the appropriate modest cautious approach, the positions also continue within 50%, see more and less move, rather missed, not wrong. Of course, there is no omnipotent strategy, but also with its specific combination of shortcomings do not need to be reduced to about 3 percent, leaving only the bottom line positions, patiently and then stabilize the node;
The short-paced better short-term who may pay attention to the heavy volume down after the short counterattack opportunities, but only recommended not to buy positions up positions do not rise (recommended positions only refers to the closing position, the disk can be flexible). However, remember that short selling is up and down based on the trend, based on the short-term formation of Powei or to be resolutely out of respect for the trend is the fundamental profit.