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Boxing Investment: Multi-factor resonance activates A-share funds to drive open up space

January 11, 2019, 16:00
Author: Wang Jianhua
source: Bo Xing

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Summary
[Bo Xing investment: multi-factor resonance activates A-share funds to drive open up space] The stock index has a certain upward trend, so it is not possible to continue to challenge the 2600 points. In addition to the factors affecting the policy, the stock index's volatility is not only related to the stability of the renminbi. After all, only the pressure of foreign capital outflows has eased, and there is a possibility of further inflow into the capital market. Therefore, from the perspective of RMB appreciation, the market is short-term. The possibility of a structural rebound is still high.


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On Friday, the last trading day of the week, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets opened slightly higher and opened up a wave of rapid rise. Although the intraday highs showed signs of falling back, the afternoon market was weakened by the hot plate. Closed to close above 2550 points. In terms of northward capital, it is a unilateral inflow situation for five consecutive days. As of the close, it has flowed nearly 4.5 billion yuan throughout the day.

From the perspective of the sector, the recovery of heavyweights in the afternoon is the fundamental factor driving the market from weak to strong.themeThe grand scene of the stock singing scene reappeared, but in this process, the essential difference from the previous general market is that, from the perspective of the industry sector, in the industry sector that led the gains today, the wine sector led the two cities, but none of them Daily limit, and second placeTelecommunications operationAlso onlyDr. PengOne stock has closed at the daily limit, and the other sectors with large gains, such as transportation equipment, papermaking, aviation, and building materials, have not experienced daily limit. The number of daily growth in other sectors has also shown signs of shrinking compared with the previous period.

It can be seen that although the current market has gradually increased its activity, but after the 5G communication heat has slipped, the new main line has not appeared. Therefore, the current sector's rise still needs to be treated rationally, especially the sustainability of the new hotspots remains to be seen. Observe, you must not blindly extend the holding time to avoid unnecessary losses.

  Shanghai index: The market once back to the 5-day moving average once again got effective support. In the afternoon, it oscillated and returned to the 30-day moving average. Although it did not form an effective breakthrough, from the performance of the disk, the moving averages gradually formed signs of long positions. If Zhou can concentrate on the 30-day moving average, it will be further up.

  GEM: The trend of the ChiNext is obviously weaker than the broader market. After the index rallied on Monday, the index basically maintained a high sideways consolidation trend four days later this week. The longer this trend is maintained, the more unfavorable it is for many parties, so the next index will be If you want to continue to go well, you still need to form an effective breakthrough in a short period of time. Otherwise, once you lose effectively around 1235, you will not rule out the possibility of creating a new low.

On the whole, Boxing Securities believes that after the market's strong pull last Friday, this week's week has fluctuated in a narrow range of fluctuations, although from a single-day perspective, the increase is not large, but from the week At the K-line level, this week, it recorded a 1.55% increase, and the stock index's center of gravity showed some signs of upward movement. Therefore, it is not excluded to continue to challenge the 2600 points. In addition to the factors affecting the policy, the stock index's volatility is not only related to the stability of the renminbi. After all, only the pressure of foreign capital outflows has eased, and there is a possibility of further inflow into the capital market. Therefore, from the perspective of RMB appreciation, the market is short-term. The possibility of a structural rebound is still high.

Therefore, in terms of strategy, in the short-term, as the 5G branch heats down, the funds in the high position will start to look for value again, so it is not yet started.New baseConstruction and traditional infrastructure can continue to track, and aggressive investors can choose to take advantage of short-term spreads, but for largeshareholderThe reduction of shares and the existence of some stocks that have been banned need to be paid more attention to prevent the risk of stock price fluctuations.

Outlook outlook>>>

  Guosen Securities Strategy Association: A shares will go out of W type in 2019, optimistic about 5G and other sectors

  Venture capitalists focus on the 2030 hotspots of medical, consumer and technology

  Everbright Securities: GEM is expected to usher in better performance in 2019

  Haitong Strategy Yu Yugen: Why is A stock common "spike round bottom"? The current valuation is at the bottom of history

Click to view>>>Spring market investment strategy The latest solution from the ace Top master solution  

(Article source: Bo Xing investment)

                (Editor: DF358)

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