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China’s Xinfu: What kind of signal did the index release sharply higher at the beginning of this week?

April 15, 2019 16:55
source: Chinese letter

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Summary
[China's Xinfu: What kind of signal did the index release sharply higher at the beginning of this week? The author pointed out in advance on Monday that April 10, 2019 is the first "key day" in April. It is the time when A-share brokers disclose their March results in a concentrated manner, and their performance has increased greatly. In the first quarter, the stocks that have risen by more than 100% in advance in the first quarter will cause the institutions to take advantage of the good shipments, and the retail investors will take advantage of them. After the A-share market disclosed the brokerage's March performance report on the evening of April 9, the brokerage sector and the financial index began to fall, which also became a "sign" for the short-term weakening of the Shanghai Stock Exchange. Recently, stock traders need to be wary of the previous strong sector and the risk of the previous strong stocks.

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On April 15th, 2019 (Monday), the four major A-share indexes opened higher and lower all day, and the bulls had no resistance.GEMThe number of stocks fell by 1.7% in the end, and the differentiation of individual stocks was more obvious.Insurance,bankClass performance is strong, but small diskthemeThe performance of the stocks was sluggish. The sectors such as chicken, beer, intellectual property and digital China were among the top losers. The overall market was weaker and the pressure on the stock index was higher.Shanghai Stock ConnectNet outflow of 700 million yuan,Deep shareThe net outflow was 1.1 billion yuan. Due to the GEM index, the small and medium board index, the Shenzhen Chengzhi Index andThe Shanghai Composite IndexAll of them were high and low, and the enthusiasm of the A-share market was severely frustrated this afternoon.

The author pointed out in advance on Monday that April 10, 2019 is the first "key day" in April, and is the A share.BrokerCentralized disclosure in MarchPerformanceAt the time of the year, the performance has increased greatly, and the stock price of the brokerage stocks has risen by more than 100% in the first quarter of the stock stocks, which will lead to the organization to take advantage of the good shipments, and the retail investors will take advantage of the good. After the A-share market disclosed the brokerage's March performance report on the evening of April 9, the brokerage sector and the financial index began to fall, which also became a "sign" for the short-term weakening of the Shanghai Stock Exchange. Recently, stock traders need to be wary of the previous strong sector and the risk of the previous strong stocks.

It is necessary for us to make big data statistical analysis on the performance of various industry sectors in the A-share market in the past 14 years (2005-2018). The statistics show that: non-bank financial (broker insurance), coal, winemaking, engineering and construction, Household items, ships, medical and medical care,UtilitiesIndustry sectors such as textiles and apparel, commercial retail and other sectors were among the top gainers. The author makes big data statistical analysis on the performance of the A-share market concept section in the past ten years (2009-2018), 100-yuan stocks, wind energy, nuclear power nuclear energy, central enterprise reform, Shanghai local stocks, biological vaccines, rare earth permanent magnets. Concepts such as scarce resources and railway infrastructure have opportunities for performance! The author gathers the recent policy and funding situation. It is recommended that investors pay due attention to the concepts of medical medicine, brewing, shipbuilding (naval equipment, military industry), engineering construction (Belt and Road), central enterprise reform, and Shanghai local stocks in April 2019. There are opportunities for performance in the sector! Remind stock traders to choose a good board and find a good team! for reference.

As of the close of Monday afternoon, the Shanghai Composite Index is on the weekly line and is still running above the 5-week moving average. On Monday, the net outflow of Shanghai Stock Connect was 700 million yuan, and the net outflow of Shenzhen Stock Connect was 1.1 billion yuan. In the intraday session, the Shanghai Composite Index once again broke the 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average, and the daily MACD indicators were short. In the context of a number of positive announcements on the weekend, today's four major indices all opened higher and fell back, eventually closing the Yinxian. - In this case, investors need to be vigilant and "do not chase high" in the operation in the second half of April. In particular, it is necessary to be especially careful about pure concept stocks that have been too large in the previous period and have no performance support. They need to be alert to the risk of “landmines” in the annual report. In terms of investment strategy, it is recommended that the stable investors control the position (below 30%), observe the bottom line of the stock holding index (3174 points and 3130 points) and the daily trend of the stocks in the warehouse. Once the trend line is broken, It is recommended to decisively lighten the operation. It is recommended that short-term traders control their positions, temporarily defend, wait for the short-term callback, and then wait for opportunities to participate in the stocks or portfolios that have a high probability of rising in April.

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(Article source: China Xinfu)

                (Editor: DF064)

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