Today's market comment:
The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges were opened higher in the morning due to the impact of the external upswing, but then they oscillated downwards. The stock indexes near the market closed green, and the stock index also closed out four consecutive negative trends. Overall, today's market opened higher and lower, the stock index continued to perform poorly; and the trend of individual stocks was also restrained to some extent, the performance of individual stocks was not active, except for a small number of varieties, the number of varieties fell. Shell resources, water reform, coal and other sectors are among the top gainers; software,Non-ferrous metal, vitamins and other leading decline.
Tomorrow's market observation:
Yesterday we pointed out that the market will be transmitted by the external market. Today's market opening in the early morning is fully in line with the expectation of conduction; then the stock indexes continue to fall, which is completely the inherent nature of A shares. Although the stock index today opened higher and lower, it did not form a panic. It is expected that the probability of the market continuing to maintain shock consolidation tomorrow will be greater.
Short-term market analysis:
Although the stock index has already seen a four-day stagnation, the adjustment of the short-term stock index has not shown signs of ending. First, technical repairs are still going on, especiallyShanghai indexThe MACD indicator tends to adjust the form is more obvious; second, the stock index is delayed to cover the gap gap in the previous period. As the time period is extended, the long-term change occurs, and the pressure of the gap position still exists. Third, the stock index has already There are four consecutive yin, in the process of four consecutive yin, the sentiment of individual stocks continues to fall, which will, to a certain extent, be consistent with the investor sentiment in the market, thus bringing about the “domino effect”; fourth, the fall of the stock index today is already effective. It has broken the support of the 5-day moving average. If it cannot be recovered tomorrow, the market will continue to fluctuate.
The recent market retreat is the basic characteristic of the A-share market, and will not be transferred due to the external surge. It is expected that the stock index will still be repeated in the short term. However, under the premise that various positives are continuously formed, the adjustment is still relatively small. It is expected that the first support of the stock index will be around 2620.
Outlook outlook for the market outlook:
According to the comprehensive analysis, as the market enters the trend of four consecutive yin since this week, it seems that the stock index has not fallen much, but the expected impact on investors' psychology is very obvious. At the same time, we see the number of stocks in the last four trading days. Continued to shrink, the willingness to do more is obviously weakened. Under the premise that individual stocks and stock indexes are not ideal, the operation should continue to be cautious. It is recommended to continue to control the position, and do not worry about chasing high. The shock consolidation is a good opportunity for low suction.
(Article source: Tianxin Investment Gu)